Wednesday, June 30, 2010

The Senator's Senator

In last night's game, Kevin Youkilis walked for the 49th time this season, tying him with Justin Morneau for most in the American League. Back when he was still in the minor leagues, he was famously referred to as the "Greek god of walks" by Michael Lewis in his book "Moneyball." Youkilis was, and still is, particularly adept at drawing walks, a statistic that is often overlooked by traditional scouts but that is nonetheless an important factor to take into consideration when evaluating a player.

With 403 walks so far, Youkilis still has a long way to go, but there are a few surprising names near the top of the all-time list of walks leaders. Barry Bonds is number one by far, with 2558. The rest of the top ten is rounded out by other predictable players who were all among the best in the game: Rickey Henderson, Babe Ruth, Ted Williams, Joe Morgan, Carl Yastrzemski, Mickey Mantle, Mel Ott, Frank Thomas, and Jim Thome. It's an impressive list of some of the greatest players in baseball history, but who is #11 on the list? Is it Stan Musial, Pete Rose, Lou Gehrig, Willie Mays, or Hank Aaron? Or some other Hall of Famer? Nope. It's Eddie Yost.

You may ask, who is Eddie Yost? Don't worry though, because I'm sure most people would react the same way. He's not in the Hall of Fame, and he's probably not even in the top 25 third basemen of all time. In fact, with a .255 batting average and only 139 career home runs, Yost might make people scratch their heads and wonder how he managed to stick around in the majors for 18 seasons. But, this obscure Washington Senators third baseman did have one thing working very strongly in his favor; his career .394 on base percentage, which included leading the league in walks 6 times and drawing a total of 1614 in his career. In fact, he drew 151 walks in 1956, tied for the 9th most walks in a single season. Only Barry Bonds, Mickey Mantle, Babe Ruth, and Ted Williams have had hgher single-season walk totals.

So why exactly did Eddie Yost get walked so many times? Were the pitchers really that afraid him, a player who only once hit more than 14 home runs in a season? Or is it just that he was very patient at the plate and had great eyesight? My guess is the latter, but however he did it, he was able to get his name right up there on the records list, sandwiched in between dozens of Hall of Fame players.

Interestingly, Eddie Yost's name came up in 2004 during the presidential election. It turned out that Senator John Kerry, a professing Red Sox fan, had been asked about 10 years earlier who his all-time favorite Red Sox player was. Did he say Ted Williams, Carl Yastrzemski, Bobby Doerr, Carlton Fisk, Luis Tiant, Roger Clemens, or even Dick Radatz or Bob Stanley? Nope, he said Eddie Yost.

The only problem? Yost never played for the Red Sox.

Monday, June 28, 2010

Worst Pitching Start Ever

Back in April, I said that I would probably examine the worst pitching start in baseball history. Obviously, this is a subjective determination; after all, is it worse to give up, say, 8 runs in zero innings, or 35 runs in 9 innings? Or 11 runs in 0.2 innings? Obviously, it's up to the individual to decide which they think is the worst, but here's my top ten:

10. Gio Gonzalez, July 20, 2009. 2.2 IP, 11 R, 11 ER
It's not often that a starting pitcher does this poorly but walks away with a no-decision. But, in what ended up being a 14-13 win against the Twins, Gonzalez's Athletics hitters managed to negate a pretty ugly start. It didn't help his ERA much, but at least they came away with a win.

9. Johnny Miljus, July 25, 1929. 3.0 IP, 14 R, 14 ER
Never heard of Johnny Miljus? Don't worry, I hadn't either. He played in parts of seven seasons between 1915 and 1929, and in the process earned the rare distinction of playing in three major leagues. However, in what ended up being his final major league year, he had a pretty ugly game, in which his Indians ultimately lost 21-3. He could rightly claim that he wasn't responsible for the last seven runs, but then again the 14 that he did give up didn't help matters much.

8. Tomo Ohka, April 17, 2002. 0.0 IP, 6 R, 6 ER
Like Gio Gonzalez, Tomo Ohka ended up with a no-decision after his Expos rallied to beat the Cubs 15-8, but that didn't change the fact that for zero innings he was really, really bad. He did manage to earn the rare distinction of pitching 0 innings while having the opposing team hit for the cycle against him (2 singles, 1 double, one triple, and one home run) but I'm sure it was of little consolation at the time.

7. Jason Jennings, July 29, 2007. 0.2 IP, 11 R, 11 ER
Many starting pitchers have been unable to get out of the first inning, but few have given up 11 runs in the process. Somehow, the Padres hitters managed to get two outs while all of this was going on, but Jennings wasn't left in to see if they could get a third one. They did manage to get 8 hits, 3 walks, and 2 home runs off the former Rookie of the Year though. The Padres' own starter, Tim Stauffer, didn't do much better, allowing 7 earned runs in 3.2 innings, but he pitched well enough to help them beat the Astros 18-11.

6. Luke Hudson, August 13, 2006. 0.1 IP, 11 R, 10 ER
At least Jason Jennings can say he got twice as many outs as Luke Hudson did in this game between Hudson's Royals and the Indians. Of course, Hudson can turn around and point out that Jennings gave up more earned runs in his start. Although I doubt either of these pitchers do much bragging about their respective starts. Both did very poorly, but Hudson was worse; his ERA for the game was 270.00, making Jennings, 148.50 ERA, look like Sandy Koufax by comparison. The Royals ultimately lost this game 13-0.

5. Paul Wilson, July 10, 2003. 0.0 IP, 8 R, 7 ER
Red Barrett once pitched a 9-inning complete game with 58 pitches. Decades later, Paul Wilson threw 41 pitches in...zero innings. That's a lot of effort for something that, statistically speaking, never happened. Except, unfortunately for Wilson, it did happen. In fact, it resulted in 8 runs, 7 of them earned, for the Astros against Wilson's Reds. But, Wilson did get a record out of it in the process. Since 1988, when pitch counts were first recorded, he holds the record for most pitches thrown by a starter without recording an out. The Astros eventually won 13-2.

4. Paul Wilson, May 6, 2005. 0.0 IP, 8 R, 8 ER
It's hard to imagine that, of all the starting pitchers in baseball history, Paul Wilson would manage to get in the top 5 worst starts ever, twice. But two years after his disastrous outing against the Astros, he was able to top even that when it comes to bad starts. Granted, this start against the Dodgers wasn't much worse, but this time he not only gave up 8 runs, but all of them were earned this time. He was much more efficient this time though, needing only 25 pitches to allow 8 runs. The Dodgers won 13-6, and Wilson started 2 more games for the Reds, giving up 11 runs in 10.1 innings, and hasn't pitched in the majors since.

3. David Rowe, July 24, 1882. 9.0 IP, 35 R, 12 ER
Normally any pitcher who gives up 35 runs would easily make the top of the list, but Rowe has a couple factors in his favor that keep him at #3. First, baseball in 1882 was substantially different than today; pitchers threw underhand on flat ground from 45 feet, batters could request a high ball or low ball, it took seven balls for a walk, and fielders did not wear gloves. Additionally, Rowe "only" allowed 12 earned runs; the other 23 were unearned, which probably means he had some bad fielders behind him. It should also be mentioned that Rowe was primarily an outfielder; he pitched only four games in his career. Still, his 35 runs allowed in a single game (won 35-12 by the Chicago White Stockings against the Cleveland Blues) by one pitcher is a major league record that probably won't be broken anytime soon.

2. Allan Travers, May 18, 1912. 8.0 IP, 24 R, 14 ER
Certainly the worst complete game ever, and for the purposes of this list, the second worst start ever. You could make a case that this was the worst start ever, since he gave up 24 runs and 14 earned in an era when pitchers dominated baseball. But, it must also be noted that Travers was literally found on a street corner by the Tigers' manager. Three days earlier, Tigers outfielder Ty Cobb ran into the stands and assaulted a fan who had accused him of being of African-American descent. This was quite the insult to a man like Cobb, so he proceeded to attack the partially-disabled fan. In response, league president Ban Johnson suspended Cobb indefinitely, so the Tigers protested by going on strike. Rather than face a $5,000 fine for every game in which they failed to field a team, the Tigers decided to find "replacement players;" in this case a collection of amateur and retired players, including a couple Tigers coaches. Somehow, Travers, a 20-year old junior at St. Joseph's College, ended up pitching, despite never having done so in his life. His inexperience showed, yet he was somehow able to pitch a complete game, in a 24-2 loss to the Athletics. After the joke of a game, Ban Johnson told the striking Tigers players that they would be banned for life if they didn't end the strike. So, the strike ended, and so did the brief major league careers of Allan Travers and his teammates.

1. Howard Ehmke, September 28, 1923. 6.0 IP, 17 R, 16 ER
Although it could be argued that Travers' game was worse, Red Sox pitcher Howard Ehmke makes the #1 spot on my list. Unlike Travers and Rowe, Ehmke was a professional pitcher who, one could reasonably assume, was capable of getting batters out. After all, earlier in the same month he pitched a no-hitter, and then followed it up with a one-hitter against the same Yankees team that scored 17 runs against him just over 2 weeks later. He still holds the AL record for fewest hits allowed in two consecutive games, but he also holds the post-1920 record for most earned runs in a game. He might hold the all-time MLB record, but I can't confirm that for pre-1920. Still, despite an atrocious end to his season, he finished 11th in MVP voting, and ended up having a respectable MLB career. He is perhaps most famous for a 1-0, 1.42 ERA in two starts for the Athletics in the 1929 World Series, a series that the A's won against the Cubs four games to one. But, September 28, 1923 just wasn't his day, and the Red Sox lost 24-4 to the Yankees, who would go on to win their first World Series the next month.

The Rime of the Ancient (former) Mariner

So far this year, Phillies pitcher Jamie Moyer has made a very good case for winning the Phil Niekro Award for Best Season by a Starting Pitcher at Age 47 or Older, an award that I just made up on the spot but one that very few people would be eligible for. In fact, prior to this year, Phil Niekro was the only one who even qualified for it. The Hall of Fame knuckleball pitcher is still the oldest regular starting pitcher in MLB history, when he started 26 games in 1987 for the Indians, Blue Jays, and Braves, compiling a 7-13 record with a 6.30 ERA at age 48. The year before, when he was 47, he was 11-11, 4.32 for the Indians. Other than him, only Jack Quinn (4), Nick Altrock, and Satchel Paige (1 each) have started any MLB games at age 47 or older.

Until this year, of course. So far Moyer, formerly of the Cubs, Rangers, Cardinals, Orioles, Red Sox, and Mariners, has gone 9-6 with a 4.30 ERA in 15 starts, but he's actually pitched even better than his record suggests. On June 11, the Red Sox lit him up for 9 runs in one inning. Subtract that from his record and he has a 3.50 ERA in his other 14 starts. On May 7, he became the oldest pitcher to pitch a shutout, giving up just two hits to the Braves and walking none. On June 5, he pitched a complete game win against the Padres, needing only 98 pitches to do so. Most recently, yesterday, he won 11-2 against the Blue Jays, defeating Brett Cecil, who was born two weeks after Moyer made his Major League Debut.

So far, Moyer has 267 wins, 103 of which he won in his 40s. He is 36th all time in wins, ahead of many Hall of Famers, and has recently broken Robin Roberts' record for most home runs allowed by a pitcher (506 as of yesterday). He is the 6th oldest pitcher in MLB history (and 4th oldest among players who pitched regularly), and the 14th oldest player overall. However, despite his longevity records, he's never had any particularly spectacular individual seasons; he only won 20 or more games twice, finished in the top ten for the Cy Young Award three times, and was an All-Star just once, in 2003 at age 40. Incidentally, his first game ever was a win for the Cubs, against his current team, the Phillies, on June 16, 1986. The losing pitcher in that game? Hall of Famer Steve Carlton, who started playing in the majors in 1965.

Monday, April 19, 2010

Worst.Start.Ever

By worst start ever, I don't mean worst starting pitching performance ever, although I will undoubtedly write a blog post seeking to discover that exact thing. Rather, I'm talking about the worst start to the season that any team has ever had. Inspired by the 4-9 start to this Red Sox season (analyzed in depth here), I decided to highlight a team that was far worse through the first 13 games. And, for that matter, through the first three weeks of the season.

In 1988, people weren't exactly expecting great things out of the Orioles. The previous year, they had finished with a dismal 67-95 record, but I don't think anything prepared their fans for the start of the next season. Despite having Eddie Murray, Cal Ripken, Jr. and Fred Lynn in their starting lineups, the Orioles got off to an 0-6 start, at which point manager Cal Ripken, Sr. was fired. Frank Robinson took over, but the losing streak continued. They didn't get their first win until April 29, after 21 straight losses to start the season. They had been swept in seven straight series, and finished April with a 1-22 record. By the end of the season though, they improved their record enough to finish 54-107, a mere 34.5 games out of first place.

The First 13 Games

It seems like the worst possible way for the Red Sox to start the season; through 13 games, they are 4-9, and have lost five in a row. They already have two different 3-game losing streaks, and the season is only two weeks old. Many Red Sox fans are panicking, declaring that the season is already over, and the team might as well have a firesale and start rebuilding for the future. Sure, it's a lousy start, but how does it compare to other lousy starts in the team's history, and how did those teams fare for the rest of the season. So, here we go, the top 10 (technically, top 14) worst Red Sox teams after 13 games, plus their final regular season record:

7. 2010, 4-9, ??-??
7. 1984, 4-9, 86-76
7. 1972, 4-9, 85-70
7. 1958, 4-9, 79-75
7. 1954, 4-9, 69-85
7. 1943, 4-9, 68-84
7. 1933, 4-9, 63-86
7. 1929, 4-9, 58-96
3. 1966, 3-10, 72-90
3. 1932, 3-10, 43-111
3. 1925, 3-10, 47-105
3. 1905, 3-10, 78-74
1. 1996, 2-11, 85-77
1. 1927, 2-11, 51-103

Of the teams that have gone before, seven of them have had identical records as the 2010 Red Sox thus far. Of those, three finished above .500 for the season, and overall five of the previous 13 teams with identical or worse records have finished over .500. Not exactly the bext company to be in; many of the teams on the list were from the infamously bad teams of the late 20's and early 30's. The best that any Sox team has done after such a rough start was the 1984 team, which finished at a respectable 86-76, although this was only good enough for 4th in the seven-team AL East. Interestingly enough, within a month of this rough start, the Sox called up a rookie pitcher named Roger Clemens...

But, now that I've broken down the worst through 13 games, which teams fared the best in the same time period, and how did they end up? Because so many teams started off 9-4, I'm only going to list the six teams that won 10 or more of their first 13:

3. 1993, 10-3, 80-82
3. 1952, 10-3, 76-78
3. 1946, 10-3, 104-50-2
3. 1904, 10-3, 95-59-3
2. 1920, 10-2-1, 72-81-1
1. 1918, 11-2, 75-51

This list is interesting because it includes, as expected, three pennant-winning teams (1946, 1918, and 1904), but the other three not only didn't win the pennant, they didn't even finish over .500! So, while starting out 4-9 or worse seems to generally bode poorly for the Sox, starting 10-3 or better seems to be little indication on how the rest of the season will play out. So, I think it can be concluded that 13 games are a very small sample size (8% of the entire season) so just because the 2010 Sox started 4-9, it doesn't mean they are going to end up 50-112 at the end of the season. But still, it is concerning to see so many poor teams and no playoff teams at all have started 9-4 or worse. I guess we'll know within the next five months...

Imperfect Game

Baseball is an unusual game, with a history unlike any other major sport. As America's first significant spectator sport, its history at the professional level can be traced back almost to the Civil War. Major League Baseball is generally understood to have started in 1876, with the creation of the National League, and since then nearly 200,000 MLB games have been played. With so many games, there are bound to be oddities and strange events going on, and my purpose in writing this blog is to highlight some of those. While I will probably discuss some relatively well-known events, my goal is to describe strange and unusual happenings in the world of baseball that do not receive as much attention.

To start off, I'm a 23 year old college graduate, with bachelor's degrees in English and Regional Planning. I first jumped on the Red Sox bandwagon during the 2003 postseason. The first Red Sox game that I ever recall watching was Game 1 of the Sox-Yankees ALCS that year, and at the time I knew very little about the team, or even about baseball in general for that matter. (Sure, I knew the basics, but in my ignorance I didn't discover until that year that foul balls count as strikes for the first two strikes) Either way, I quickly took a liking to the team, despite the way that the series ended. The next year, I continued to watch the Red Sox games, and it just so happened that it was the year that they won the World Series for the first time since 1918. Ever since then, I've been a fan of Red Sox in particular, but baseball history as well, and I enjoy not only current events, but also learning about the history of the game as well.